Deaths and test results
There have been a further TWENTYFOUR positive test results announced today. This brings the cumulative total to 1209.
Tuesday 22nd saw the largest number of new cases (22) identified on a single day since the beginning of May.
There have been no additional hospital deaths
The worst affected neighbourhoods currently are Holgate East & Rawcliffe/Clifton South
Council commentary
The Councils commentary on the pandemic has been updated and is reproduced below.
The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 25.9.20. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:
Diagnosed cases (Pillar 1&2 combined)
• As at 24.9.20 York has had 1,185 cases, a rate of 562.2 per 100,000 of population. The rate in York is lower than national (637) and regional (829.3) averages.
• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the no. of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (21.9.20) is Amber. The rating was triggered by a higher than ‘expected’ number of cases per 100 tests once in the last 14 days.
• The latest validated 7 day rate of new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population for York is 34.3. This is for the 7 day period up to 18.9.20. This excludes cases with a sample date in the last few days due to partial data and lags in reporting. The national and regional averages are 38.1 and 55.1 respectively.
• As at 21.9.20, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 only) was 3.19% (77 positives out of 2,412 tests). The national and regional averages are 3% and 4% respectively.
Deaths
The two sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data is useful as it provides a breakdown by age and gender. The most recently available data is summarised below:
• ONS weekly data: For deaths occurring up to 11th September 2020 and registered up to 19th September 2020, 171 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (83 in hospital, 76 in care homes, 9 at home and 3 in a hospice. The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 81.19 which is lower than the national average of 88.60. The most recent death reported for a York resident was in week 31 (25 to 31 July).
• ‘Excess’ deaths (ONS). In week 37 (5 Sept to 11 Sept), 23 deaths occurred in York, which is 9 fewer than the average weekly number for 2014-18. Over the last 16 weeks the total number of deaths in York has been 43 fewer than the average for the equivalent weeks in 2014-18.
• Local Registrar data: In the weekly data received on 21.9.20 (for deaths occurring up to 16.9.20), a cumulative total of 163 deaths of CYC residents where COVID-19 was mentioned (confirmed or suspected) on the death certificate, have been registered. The average age of the people who died was 82.5, with an age range of 53-104. The age profile of those dying in York is slightly older than the national average. 87 of the 163 were male (53.4%), slightly less than the national average (55%). 81 of the deaths occurred in hospital and 82 were community deaths (e.g. at home or in a care home or hospice). 71 people (43.6%) died in nursing /care homes (the national average is 29.62%). In addition 13 people (8%) who normally resided in nursing/care homes in the CYC area, died in hospital.
Data on deaths occurring in hospital are shown below. Deaths are initially reported for York NHS Foundation Trust which includes Scarborough Hospital and the further breakdown by site can be delayed. From local registrar data, 58.5% of COVID-19 deaths occurring at York Hospital have been CYC residents. (NB NHS Trusts record deaths following a positive covid-19 test whereas ONS record deaths where covid-19 in mentioned on the death certificate so the totals are not the same).
• Deaths at York Hospital: As at 24.9.20, 134 deaths of people who had tested positive for COVID-19 and were being cared for at York Hospital have been reported. 214 deaths have been reported by the wider York NHS Trust.