Deaths

One further hospital death has been announced.

It took place on Tuesday

For the first time since mid October, the average daily death rate at the local hospitals has fallen below one.

Test results

Eighteen additional positive test results were announced today. That brings cumulative total to 11,823

The rate /100k population figure has edged higher and now stands at 77.39.

It is expected to rise to over 80 this weekend before, hopefully, falling again next week.

The infection rate is now a couple of points higher than was seen during the equivalent period in December.

The York increase since yesterday represents an additional 8 cases.

Case rates continue to fall at national and county level. They are also now beginning to fall again at regional (Yorkshire) level.

Neighbourhoods

The increased cases are spread round the City with no obvious connection. Huntington, which edged above the 200 case threshold yesterday, has now fallen back into the average rate banding.

There are still 4 neighbourhoods with fewer than 3 cases in each

Vaccinations

The team running the York vaccination centre at Askham Bar say they expect to have offered all over-50s the jab by mid-April.

Vaccinations by neighbourhood

The NHS have started to publish details of the numbers of people who have been vaccinated at neighbourhood level. As with most other stats they report the situation as at 5 days ago, so more progress will have been made since then.

The stats reveal that 55,074 York residents have now (21/2/21) been vaccinated. That represents about 25% of the total population.

The distribution of jabs tends to reflect the age profile distribution across the City. Areas with larger numbers of older people have – as expected – been allocated a larger proportion of available resources.

The figures confirm that local systems are working well and that progress is ahead of target.

When all over 50’s have been vaccinated (expected by mid April) the recommendation, in phase 2, is that priority will be given in the following order:

• – All those aged 40-49
• – All those aged 30-39
• – All those aged 18-29

It is expected that all adults will have been offered a vaccination my Mid July.

Tests

4450 PCR tests were conducted in York during the week ending 21st February

Of these, 3.7% were positive. That represents and increase from the 3.5% figure recorded the previous day.

1438 “lateral flow” test were conducted on 25th February

Hospitals

There are now 67 COVID-19 inpatients at the York Hospital Trust. See council commentary below for York Hospital figures.

The peak number of patients was 242 last month.

11 are in intensive care

A total of 1,992 Covid-19 patients had been discharged since the start of the pandemic

Council commentary

The Council has updated its weekly commentary on the pandemic.

It is reproduced below for ease of access.

“The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 26.02.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 22.2.21 there had been 77 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.

• As at 25.2.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 225.4 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 4,653 people). The peak rate was 1,282.6 on 7.1.21.

Diagnosed cases

• As at 24.2.21 York has had 11,805 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 5,605 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (6,466) and regional (6,413) averages.

• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the no. of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (22.2.21) is Green.

• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 17.2.21 to 23.2.21 in York is 79.8 (using data published on Gov.uk on 25.2.21).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 14.2.21 to 20.2.21 was 73.6. The national and regional averages at this date were 118.3 and 154.3 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 25.2.21).

• York is currently ranked 29th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• For the 7 day period 13.2.21.to 19.2.21, 2 wards in York (Clifton and Osbaldwick & Derwent) has seen a statistically significant fall in rates compared with the 7 day period 6.2.21 to 12.2.21. For the remaining wards there has been no statistically significant change in rates. No wards have seen a significant increase in rates in this period.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 14.2.21 to 20.2.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 70.6. The national and regional averages were 83.9 and 106.6 respectively.

• As at 22.2.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 3.55%. The national and regional averages are 5.2% and 7.1% respectively.

• As at 22.2.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.46%. The national and regional averages are 0.3% and 0.3% respectively.

• As at 23.2.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 3.9%. The national average is 3.1%.

• As at 25.2.21 York University reported 9 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.

• As at 22.2.21 York St. John reported 1 individual within the University community who was currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 82 on the 8.10.20.

Contact Tracing

• Since 28.5.20 a total of 10,926 laboratory confirmed CYC Covid cases have been uploaded into the NHS Test and Trace system and 9,849 of the cases have been completed (90.1%). 25,408 ‘contacts’ have been identified and 19,152 of these have been completed (75.4%). Source: PHE Report.

• Local Tracing of Cases: Between 22.10.20 and 19.2.21, 919 referrals had been actioned by the local contact tracing service. Of the referrals actioned, 586 (63.8%) were successful and 333 (36.2%) were unable to be reached via phone or home visit, but guidance leaflets were posted where possible.

Cases in Residential Care Settings

• As at 25.2.21 there were 5 care homes in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).

• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases) in a residential care setting in York was reported by PHE on 25.2.21 (1 home).

Cases amongst School Aged Children

• In the 7 days up to 21.2.21 there were 9 children of primary and secondary school age who tested positive. NB Currently the majority of York children are not in the school setting.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 23.2.21 there were 41 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General and Acute beds. The figure a week ago (16.2.21) was 52.

• As at 23.2.21 there were 11 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patient in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The figures a week ago (16.2.21) were 9 and 0 respectively.

• As at 23.2.21 there had been 0 patients admitted with suspected Covid-19 and 0 with confirmed Covid-19 in the previous 24 hours.

• As at 23.2.21 there had been 6 confirmed patients discharged with COVID-19 in last 24 hours.

Covid Patients (CYC Residents) discharged from York Hospital

• Between 15.2.21 and 21.2.21, 18 CYC residents were discharged from York hospital after needing NHS care for symptoms linked to covid-19 infection.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 19.2.21 was estimated to be in the range 0.7 to 1.0. The previous estimate was (0.8 to 0.9) on 12.2.21.

Total Vaccinations

• As at 24.2.21 58,450 CYC residents have received the first dose and 1,095 had received both doses. 27.8% of the total estimated population of York (210,618*) have therefore received the first dose

• As at 24.2.21 15.79M In people in England have received the first dose and 0.54M have received both doses. 28.1% of the total estimated population of England (56,286,961) have therefore received the first dose using Mid-Year 2019 population estimates

Deaths

The two sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data is useful as it enables a breakdown by age and gender. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 6: 6.2.21 to 12.2.21) 10 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (7 in hospital and 3 in a care home). In weeks 3, 4 and 5 there had been 31, 26 and 18 deaths respectively.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 12th February 2021 and registered up to 20th February 2021, 348 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (204 in hospital, 119 in care homes, 18 at home and 7 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 165.2 which is lower than the national average of 208.1.

• Local Registrar data (Cumulative): Since the start of the pandemic (using data for deaths occurring up to 17.2.21), a cumulative total of 348 deaths of CYC residents where COVID-19 was mentioned (confirmed or suspected) on the death certificate, have been registered. The average age of the people who died was 82.3, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of those dying in York is older than the national average (80.5% of those who died in York were aged 75+ compared with 73.9% nationally). 167 of the 348 were male (48%), less than the national average (54.3%)”.