Small reduction in patient numbers at hospitals today. No further deaths.
The last death of a York resident from COVID related issues occurred 3 weeks ago.
Test results
133 positive test results were announced today. Brings the cumulative total up to 13,936.
The number of cases in the City has risen by 45.
The 156 positive tests recorded on Monday was the highest single day figure seen in the City since 11th January 2021.
The rate /100k population is now 295.81. It is trending to reach 379.38.
Neighbourhoods
Today the table has been augmented to include the latest vaccination figures for each neighbourhood.
As you would expect there is a correlation between high case numbers and low vaccination rates.
The areas with low vaccination rates also have high numbers of people aged under 25 who have, in the main have only been getting their first jab during the last fortnight,
Vaccinations
There has been a big increase in the 1st dose vaccination totals for under 25’s
Tests
7033 PCR tests were conducted during the week ending 26th June 2021
Of these, 8.8% were positive. This represents an increase on the 8.1% positivity found during the previous period.
3617 “lateral flow” tests were also conducted on 30th June 2021.
The number of patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust has crept up to 10. There is still one patient in intensive care.
The have been no further COVID deaths. However the death toll in other parts of the country is now creeping up again. There were 13 deaths reported today.
Unlike the positive test result profile (which is overwhelmingly recording infections in under 40’s), it is the older age groups who are still vulnerable to serious illness. Of the 13 recorded deaths, 3 were in the 40 – 59 age group, 4 in the 60 – 79 group while 6 were aged over 80.
Test results
146 positive test results announced today. Brings total up to 13.803
There has been an increase of 71 cases in York (507 up to 578)
The infection rate /100k population is now 274.44. It is trending to reach 350.89.
The highest infection rate recorded in the autumn surge was 442.53 (16/10/20)
The highest in the winter peak was 670.91 (8/1/21)
Neighbourhoods
Tang Hall has recorded its highest ever case load total exceeding both the autumn and winter peaks.
There has been a small drop in case numbers at Heslington but it remains one of the neighbourhoods with the highest infection rates in the country.
Although the Council haven’t released any updated figures, we understand that large numbers of children in some schools have been sent home to isolate following positive test results in their “bubble”.
York University hasn’t updated its web site since Friday when it recorded that 258 staff and students were self isolating following positive tests.
Vaccinations
A record breaking 2899 vaccinations were recorded yesterday. The figure may have been boosted by the, no appointment needed, “grab a jab” initiative which was operating at some surgeries.
Tests
6987 PCR tests were undertaken during the week ending 25th June 2021.
Of these, 8.1% were found to be positive. That is significantly higher that the positivity rate of 7.1% found during the previous period. NB. At the beginning of the month the positivity rate as as low as 1.2%
2152 “lateral flow” tests were also conducted on 29th June 2021
Two fewer patients at the hospitals today. No more deaths
Test results
84 positive test results today. Brings the cumulative total up to 13.223
The number of cases in the City has increased from 269 to 305.
The rate /100k population increases to 144.82. Trending to reach 215.1 early next week.
The infection rate in York is now well above the regional and national averages
Neighbourhoods
Only one neighbourhood now with fewer than 3 cases (New Earswick)
NB. These figures date from tests carried out last Sunday. The significantly higher positive test numbers found on Monday and Tuesday are not yet reflected in the trends shown on the graphs
The term ends at the University of York today
Vaccinations
952 vaccinations were completed yesterday
Tests
6355 PCR tests were completed during the week ending 20th June 2021
Of these, 4.4% were found to be positive. That represents an increase from the 4.0% found during the previous period). NB. At the peak of the winter wave, positivity hit a high of 18.2% (3/1/21)
2949 “lateral flow” test were also conducted on 24th June 2021
Council commentary
The Council has updated its commentary on open data. It is reproduced below.
The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 25.06.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:
People with Covid Symptoms
• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 21.6.21 there had been 101 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.
• As at 24.6.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 589 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 3,787 people). The peak rate was 1,283 on 7.1.21.
Diagnosed cases
• As at 24.6.21 York has had 13,139 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 6,238 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (7,247) and regional (7,640) averages.
• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the number of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (21.6.21) is Red.
• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 16.6.21 to 22.6.21 in York is 192.3 (405 cases). (Using data published on Gov.uk on 24.6.21).
• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 13.6.21 to 19.6.21 in York was 127.7 (269 cases). The national and regional averages at this date were 101.5 and 112.7 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 24.6.21).
• York is currently ranked 108th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.
• For the 7 day period 12.6.21.to 18.6.21, the number of cases in each ward varied from 1 to 45 and rates varied from 21.9 to 296.7 per 100,000.
• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 13.6.21 to 19.6.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 8.1 (4 cases). The national and regional averages were 17.2 and 17.7 respectively.
• As at 22.6.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 7.82%. The national and regional averages are 4.9% and 6.6% respectively.
• As at 22.6.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.93%. The national and regional averages are 0.5% and 0.6% respectively.
• As at 22.6.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 0.4%. The national average is 0.6%.
• As at 18.6.21 York University reported 55 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.
• As at 21.6.21 York St. John reported 7 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 82 on the 8.10.20.
Contact Tracing
• Local Contact Tracing. Between 10.3.21 and 18.6.21, 471 referrals had been actioned by the local contact tracing service. Of the referrals actioned, 442 (93.8%) were successful and 29 (6.2%) were unable to be reached via phone or home visit, but guidance leaflets were posted where possible. (NB on the 10.3.21 the local CYC team became responsible for contacting all cases rather than just those that the national team could not contact).
Cases in Residential Care Settings
• As at 23.6.21 there were 2 care homes in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).
• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases of either a staff member or resident) in a residential care setting in York was reported by PHE on 24.6.21 (1 home).
Cases amongst School Aged Children
• In the 7 days up to 21.6.21 there were 26 children of primary or secondary school age who tested positive (across 7 different schools).
COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital
• As at 22.6.21 there were 6 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General/Acute beds. The previous figure was 4 on 15.6.21. The peak number was 157 on 19.1.21.
• As at 22.6.21 there were 0 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patients in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The previous figures were 0 and 0 on 15.6.21. The peak number for people in ITU was 19 on 10.5.20.
R Number
• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 18.6.21 was estimated to be in the range 1.0 to 1.3. The previous estimate was (1.0 to 1.2) on 11.6.21.
Variants of Concern
• Published data from Public Health England shows that in York, up to 16.6.21, there had been 171 cases (genomically confirmed or provisional genotyping) of the Delta Variant of Concern (VOC-21APR-02) which was first identified in India. More recent provisional data is available on cases where the test was processed in a laboratory which can identify Variants of Concern. This shows that in the most recent month, 93% of new cases in York were likely to be the Delta Variant.
Total Vaccinations
• As at 23.6.21 a total of 133,510 CYC residents have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 76.7% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.
• As at 22.6.21 a total of 92,574 CYC residents have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 53.2% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.
Deaths
The two sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data provides a breakdown by age and gender. The most recently available data is summarised below:
• ONS Weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 23: 5.6.21 to 11.6.21) 0 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents.
• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 11th June 2021 and registered up to 19th June 2021, 397 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (228 in hospital, 136 in care homes, 25 at home/elsewhere and 8 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 188.49 which is lower than the national average of 232.76
• Age / Gender breakdown (using registrar data): The average age of the CYC residents who died was 82.1, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of the CYC residents who have died is older than the national average (79.6% were aged 75+ compared with 72.9% nationally). 47.7% of the CYC residents who died were male. The national average is 54.4%.
There has been an increase in the number of patients being treated for COVID in local hospitals.
There have been no further deaths
The latest government figures covering the period up to 11th June show there have been no further deaths of York residents. The total number of fatalities remains at 379.
Test results
103 positive test results. Brings cumulative total up to 13,139
The number of cases in the City has increased from 238 to 269
The 83 positive test results recorded on Tuesday was the highest single day figure seen since 20th January 2021.
Rate /100k pop rises to 126.77. However the infection rate is now rising rapidly with the 200 threshold likely to be broken next week.
Neighbourhoods
The University/Fulford area now has an infection rate above 400. It is the first time that we have seen that threshold exceeded since January 2021. At 441% week on week the infection growth rates are the highest seen anywhere in the City this year.
Several other neighbourhoods – mainly on the east of the City – are also showing very high infection growth rates.
Perhaps surprisingly there has been little public comment or action from the responsible authorities about this deteriorating situation.
Vaccinations
Over 50% of adults in all neighbourhoods in York have now had their first jab. There have been big increases this week in areas like Heslington and Tang Hall
Neighbourhoods with the largest percentage of double doses are Dunnington. Wigginton and Bishopthorpe
Tests
6156 PCR tests were completed during the week ending 19th June 2021
Of these, 4.0% were positive. That is higher than the 3.9% found during the previous period
In additional 3381 lateral flow test were conducted on 23rd June.
“Drop in” for a jab
Nimbuscare are staging a series of walk-in, pop-up Covid vaccination clinics at venues across the city during the coming week to try to reach local people over the age of 18 years who have not yet received their first dose.
All eligible patients are welcome to turn up on the day, but it is possible to book an appointment in advance through your GP surgery if you prefer to do so.
Anyone who has not yet received their first dose is encouraged to attend one of the following clinics:
Saturday 26 June, from 8.30am to 1.40pm, at Jorvik Gillygate Practice on Stonebow (Astra Zeneca).
Sunday 27 June, from 12.30pm to 3.30pm, at Priory Medical Group’s Tang Hall Lane Surgery (Pfizer).
Monday 28 June, from 12.45pm to 5pm, at Burnholme Sports Centre (Pfizer).
Tuesday 29 June, from 8.30am to 7.30pm, at the University of York (Pfizer).
Wednesday 30 June, from 5pm to 8.30pm, at York St. John University (Pfizer).
Thursday 1 July, from 12.30pm to 3.30pm, at York St. John University (Pfizer).
Friday 2 July, from 8.30am to 7.30pm, at York St. John University (Pfizer).
Saturday 3 July, from 12.30pm to 3.30pm, at Priory Medical Group’s Tang Hall Lane Surgery (Pfizer).
Sunday 4 July, from 8.45am to 3pm, at Burnholme Sports Centre (Pfizer).
The number of hospital patients continues to trend upwards. However there are no patients in intensive care and there have been no additional deaths
Test results
59 positive test results were announced today. This brings the cumulative total up to 12,967
The number of cases in the City has increased from 189 to 216
The rate /100k population is now 102.56.
Infection rates in York are now higher than the county, regional and national levels.
Neighbourhoods
For the first time since March, we now have a neighbourhood with an infection rate above 200. The area concerned covers the University, Heslington and Fulford (rate currently 229.4). Rates are also high in adjacent “dormitory” areas like Fulford Road and Tang Hall.
We did see a similar exponential growth in cases in the Heslington area in September/October last year. Then the infection rate peaked at 1720. The spike was generally put down to a lack of social distancing by students newly arrived in the City. A lockdown reduced the problem. Although that solution is not available at present, the University authorities are arranging a flash vaccination programme on the campus.
Although it won’t be popular with everyone, we think that the idea of a “COVID passport” may have to be revived. Only those with a double dose vaccination and/or a recent negative test would be allowed into venues where close social contact is possible. Everyone is due to be offered double dose vaccinations before September.
Vaccinations
Updated vaccination stats are not yet available
Tests
5720 PCR test were conducted during the week ending 17th June 2021
Of these, 3.6% were positive. That is more than the 3.2% recorded during the previous period
3159 “lateral flow” tests were also conducted on 21st June 2021.
Hospital patient numbers stable. No further deaths
Test results
There were 41 positive test results announced today. This brings the cumulative total up to 12,716
There were 32 positive tests on Tuesday. That is the highest single day figure seen since 9th February 2021
The number of cases in the City has risen to 144.
The rate /100k population has risen to 67.9. It is now trending to reach 82.6.
Neighbourhoods
Vaccinations
A total of 704 vaccinations were completed yesterday (Wednesday)
The vaccination numbers by age group and neighbourhood have been updated by the government
The area with the highest percentage of first doses is Wigginton (95.2%). The lowest is still Tang Hall (46.1%) although this is up from the 43.9% recorded at the end of the previous week.
The area with the highest percentage of second doses is Haxby (72.8%). The lowest is Tang Hall (29.1%)
Neighbourhood vaccination rates at 13th June 2021
Tests
The number of PCR tests completed in the City during the week ending 12th June was 5219
Of these, 2.4% were positive. That is more than the 2.2% found during the previous period.
3272 “lateral flow” tests were also completed on 16th June.
