Coronavirus York updates; 18th March 2021

Deaths

There have been no further hospital deaths announced today

Test Results

Thirteen new positive test results have been recorded today bringing the cumulative total to 12,094.

The number of cases in the City has fallen by 11 from 100 yesterday to 89 today.

The rate /100k population figure has fallen to 42.26. This the lowest figure that we have since 21st September 2020. The rate is expected to fall again tomorrow when it may dip below 40.

Case rates in York have now fallen below those that can be found in North Yorkshire again. Rates at regional and national level are stable

Neighbourhoods

Only one neighbourhood now has an infection rate of over 100 (Strensall)

9 neighbourhoods now have fewer than 3 cases in each. This includes Westfield/Chapelfields/ Foxwood North which has recorded its lowest rate since last summer.

Vaccinations

95% of over 60’s living in York have now been vaccinated. There is little difference in rates at neighbourhood level with the lowest being 80% at Heslington. Fulford and the University (which also now has a very low infection rate).

We understand that the Council will be stepping up its attempts to contact those who have not responded to offers of immunisation jabs.

The inoculators are making good progress with the 50 age groups and seem to be on course to meet their Easter target of offering vaccinations to all over 50’s living in York.

It is thought that vaccination rates for under 50’s may be slower during April as a result of drug shortages.

Hospitals

The number of COVID-19 cases being treated by the York Hospital Trust has fallen to 34. Five are now being treated in intensive care. At its peak, the Trust was treating 242 patients. 2065 patients have been treated and discharged since the start of the pandemic

Tests

4021 PCR test were carried out in York during the week ending 13th March 2021

Of these 1.4% were positive. This represents an improvement on the 1.5% which were positive on the previous day.

4947 “lateral flow” tests were also carried out on 17th March

Police Coronavirus response: No time to let-up as we head towards Easter holidays

Superintendent Mike Walker (pictured below) is leading North Yorkshire Police’s response to the pandemic and he chairs the multi-agency North Yorkshire Local Resilience Forum. These are his comments about the past week’s (8-14 March 2021) Covid-19-related issues and the policing arrangements for Easter time…

“Together with our partner agencies and the people of York and North Yorkshire, it is imperative that we maintain the collective effort to reduce the infection rate as low as possible while the vaccination programme is rolled-out across the population.

“We can all see that better times are on the horizon, that’s why we must keep going and not allow all the hard work and sacrifice to be undone through complacency.

“We all must keep adhering to the health protection regulations around travel and gatherings, maintaining social distance, wearing face coverings in shops and on public transport, and keeping our hands as clean as possible.

“From a policing point of view, we will continue to play our part in tackling the public health crisis as we head towards the Easter holidays.

“Each district is on with preparing patrol plans to ensure there are sufficient resources to provide reassurance and continue our ‘4 Es’ approach – to engage with the public, explain the regulations, encourage compliance, and enforce if there is no other way of dealing with breaches.

“The patrol plans will obviously reflect any changes in legislation post 29 March as part of the Government’s roadmap out of lockdown.

“When it is safe to do so, we will welcome visitors to the county again. However, everyone can expect to see an increased policing presence as we work alongside our partners to help keep the virus at bay in the weeks and months ahead.

“Also, we expect normal policing demand to increase as the regulations are further relaxed, therefore North Yorkshire Police will utilise the Government’s surge funding provided to ensure we can respond to the public as they would expect.”

Latest enforcement data

During the past seven days (8-14 March 2021) we have issued 102 Fixed Penalty Notices (FPNs) – the previous week’s total was 210.

This takes the total to 1,662 FPNs during the third lockdown, and 3,555 FPNs since the first lockdown on March 2020.

54 were issued to local people and 48 were issued to visitors
40 issued for being outside place of living
10 for outdoor gatherings
29 for indoor gatherings
2 for obstruct/contravene/fail to close business
20 for gathering of more than 15

Broken down into districts, the number of FPNs issues are as follows:

Craven – 3
Hambleton – 15
Harrogate – 12
Richmond – 2
Ryedale – 5
Scarborough – 50
Selby – 7
York – 8

Notable recent breaches

Scarborough was again the location for the most indoor gatherings with 18 FPNs issued. There were also two separate indoor gatherings in the town over the weekend consisting of more than 15 people – this resulted in 20 FPNs being issued. One occurred at a flat on Pavilion Square following a report of a party at 10.45pm on Saturday (13 March).

Just after 5pm on Saturday, an online report was made to the police that a group of men from Wakefield, West Yorkshire, were drinking together in a hot tub at a lodge in the York area. When officers arrived they initially claimed they were work colleagues staying together in digs, but this proved not to be the case and the five men were issued with FPNs.

At 4.50am on Monday (15 March), a VW Polo car was stopped by officers as it was travelling east on the A64 at Bilbrough. The four occupants from Leeds, two men and two women aged in their late teens and early 20s, states that they were going somewhere to watch the sun rise. They each headed home with FPNs for being outside their place of living.

Also, for being outside their place of living, two men from Hessle, Hull, were issued with FPNs when police spotted their car at the St James Retail Park at Knaresborough at 12.45am on Monday (15 March). They said they were out for a drive to get a McDonald’s meal.

Coronavirus York updates; 16th March 2021

Deaths

The latest ONS figures for the week ending 5th March confirm that 4 York residents died of coronavirus. Two died in hospital, one at home and one in a care home. The figure represents a reduction when compared to the six fatalities recorded in the previous week.

In total 368 York residents have now succumbed to the virus

There have been no further deaths reported by the York Hospital Trust today. The last fatality occurred on 7th March.

Test results

Seven positive test results were announced today. The cumulative total is now 12,071

The number of cases in the City has fallen from 111 yesterday to 105 today

The rate /100k population has fallen below the 50 threshold to 49.86. We are expecting the rate to continue to decline this week and that it may fall below 40 by the weekend.

While the infection rate in York has fallen today, the rates at county , regional and national level have edged up

Neighbourhoods

16 of York’s 22 neighbourhoods have infection rates below the national average. Further improvements are expected later in the week

Vaccinations

Officials at the Askham Bar site are now forecasting that all over 50’s will have been offered a COVID vaccination before Easter

Tests

4050 PCR tests were carried out during the week ending 11th March 2021

Of these 1.7% were positive. That is the same figure as the previous day

3406 “lateral flow” tests wee also carried out on 15th March 2921

Hospitals

The York Hospital Trust is now treating 39 COVID cases. Six are in intensive care. In total, since the start of the pandemic, 2062 COVID patients have been treated and discharged

Outbreak Management Board

A meeting of the COVID-19 management board is taking place tomorrow. Copies of the agenda and background papers should be published before the meeting starts. https://democracy.york.gov.uk/ieListDocuments.aspx?MId=12423

Coronavirus York updates; 15th March 2021

Deaths

Another day without a hospital death. The last, reported by the York Hospital Trust, occurred on 7th March 2021

Test Results

Twelve positive test results announced today. This brings the total number of infections to 12,064.

The number of cases in the City has remained at 111. There is now a reasonable expectation that the number of cases will fall by around six when tomorrows figures are released.

The rate /100k population has remained steady today at 52.7. The rate is expected to fall below 45 before the end of the week.

There has been an increase in infection rates at both county (North Yorkshire) and regional (Yorkshire) level today. The national figure has remained stable.

Neighbourhoods

There have been no significant changes at neighbourhood level today.

Vaccinations

Tests

4082 PCR tests were conducted during the week ending 10th March 2021.

Of these, 1.7% were positive – the same proportion as the previous day.

In addition, 4515 “lateral flow” tests were carried out on 14th March

Coronavirus York updates; 5th March 2021

Deaths

Two additional hospital deaths have been announced today. One occurred on Monday and one on Wednesday

Test Results

Thirteen additional positive test results were announced today. Brings cumulative total to 11,930

The number of cases in the City has fallen from 123 yesterday to 112 today.

The rate per /100k population has fallen to 53.18. That is the lowest rate recorded since 24th September 2020

After a small hiccup tomorrow, the rate is expected to fall to below 50 next week.

Neighbourhoods

All but two neighbourhoods now have below average infection rates.

Vaccinations

Tests

4325 PCR tests were carried out during the week ending 28th February

Of these, 2.6% were positive. That is an improvement on the 2.8% recorded the previous day

3426 “lateral flow” test were also conducted on 4th March

Hospitals

There are currently 54 COVID-19 patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust. 7 are in intensive care.

Since the start of the pandemic 2024 patients have been discharged

Council commentary

The York Councils “open data” commentary on the pandemic is reproduced below

The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 05.03.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 1.3.21 there had been 68 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.

• As at 3.3.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 193.2 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 4,476 people). The peak rate was 1,282.6 on 7.1.21.

Diagnosed cases

• As at 4.3.21 York has had 11,917 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 5,658 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (6,537) and regional (6,521) averages.

• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the no. of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (1.3.21) is Green.

• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 24.2.21 to 2.3.21 in York is 48.9 (using data published on Gov.uk on 4.3.21).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 21.2.21 to 27.2.21 was 58.4. The national and regional averages at this date were 86.4 and 122 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 4.3.21).

• York is currently ranked 43rd out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• For the 7 day period 20.2.21.to 26.2.21, 1 ward in York (Heworth) has seen a statistically significant fall in rates compared with the 7 day period 13.2.21 to 19.2.21. 1 ward has seen a significant rise in rates (Dringhouses & Woodthorpe). For the remaining wards there has been no statistically significant change in rates.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 21.2.21 to 27.2.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 70.6. The national and regional averages were 56.9 and 75.6 respectively.

• As at 1.3.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 3.06%. The national and regional averages are 3.6% and 5.5% respectively.

• As at 1.3.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.23%. The national and regional averages are 0.2% and 0.2% respectively.

• As at 2.3.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 1.9%. The national average is 2.3%.

• As at 4.3.21 York University reported 7 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.

• As at 22.2.21 York St. John reported 1 individual within the University community who was currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 82 on the 8.10.20.

Contact Tracing

• Since 28.5.20 a total of 11,047 laboratory confirmed CYC Covid cases have been uploaded into the NHS Test and Trace system and 9,956 of the cases have been completed (90.1%). 25,655 ‘contacts’ have been identified and 19,385 of these have been completed (75.6%). Source: PHE Report.

• Local Tracing of Cases: Between 22.10.20 and 26.2.21, 935 referrals had been actioned by the local contact tracing service. Of the referrals actioned, 599 (65%) were successful and 336 (36%) were unable to be reached via phone or home visit, but guidance leaflets were posted where possible.

Cases in Residential Care Settings

• As at 4.3.21 there was 1 care home in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).

• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases) in a residential care setting in York was reported by PHE on 25.2.21 (1 home).

Cases amongst School Aged Children

• In the 7 days up to 1.3.21 there were 5 children of primary and secondary school age who tested positive. NB Currently the majority of York children are not in the school setting.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 3.3.21 there were 33 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General and Acute beds. The figure a week ago (23.2.21) was 41.

• As at 3.3.21 there were 9 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patient in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The figures a week ago (23.2.21) were 11 and 0 respectively.

• As at 3.3.21 there had been 0 patients admitted with suspected Covid-19 and 1 with confirmed Covid-19 in the previous 24 hours.

• As at 3.3.21 there had been 6 confirmed patients discharged with COVID-19 in last 24 hours.

Covid Patients (CYC Residents) discharged from York Hospital

• Between 22.2.21 and 28.2.21, 21 CYC residents were discharged from York hospital after needing NHS care for symptoms linked to covid-19 infection.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 26.2.21 was estimated to be in the range 0.7 to 0.9. The previous estimate was (0.7 to 1.0) on 19.2.21.

Total Vaccinations

• As at 3.3.21 64,230 CYC residents have received the first dose and 1,139 had received both doses. 30.5% of the total estimated population of York (210,618*) have therefore received the first dose.

• As at 3.3.21 17.78M In people in England have received the first dose and 0.68M have received both doses. 31.6% of the total estimated population of England (56,286,961*) have therefore received the first dose.

*using Mid-Year 2019 population estimates

Deaths

The two sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data is useful as it enables a breakdown by age and gender. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 7: 13.2.21 to 18.2.21) 18 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (11 in hospital, 5 in a care home and 2 at home). In weeks 4, 5 and 6 there had been 26, 18 and 11 deaths respectively.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 19th February 2021 and registered up to 27th February 2021, 367 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (215 in hospital, 125 in care homes, 20 at home and 7 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 174.25 which is lower than the national average of 215.06.

• Local Registrar data (Cumulative): Since the start of the pandemic (using data for deaths occurring up to 24.2.21), a cumulative total of 354 deaths of CYC residents where COVID-19 was mentioned (confirmed or suspected) on the death certificate, have been registered. The average age of the people who died was 82.3, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of those dying in York is older than the national average (80.5% of those who died in York were aged 75+ compared with 73.7% nationally). 170 of the 354 were male (48%), less than the national average (54.3%).

York businesses to receive £7.5m in grants next week

March lockdown grant payments will be in York businesses’ bank accounts next week.

£7.5m will be in York business bank accounts by Thursday 11 March, taking the total financial support to nearly £150m during pandemic
Government has indicated that Restart Grants will not be paid until at least 1 April

March lockdown grant payments will be in York businesses’ bank accounts next week.

Around £7.5m of grants will be issued on Monday 8 March, landing in accounts within 3 days.

The payments relate to ongoing grants to support through the current lockdown, and not to any announcements made in this week’s budget. Following government guidance, City of York Council are paying grants up to 31 March.

Any business which has already received a payment since the new lockdown grants were introduced in November does not need to reapply.

The council is also reminding businesses that it is not in control of the timeline for paying Restart Grants. The government has indicated that payments cannot be made until the start of April at the earliest.

Coronavirus York updates; 1st March 2021

Deaths

One hospital death announced today. It occurred on Saturday. Death rate continues to fall.

Test results

Twenty additional positive test results announced today. Brings the cumulative total to 11,873

Rate /100k population has reduced to 76.92 from yesterdays peak of 81.67

This represents a reduction in case numbers in the City from 172 to 162

The rate is forecast to reduce further over the next few days. It is now more in line with the trend seen in early December

York’s infection rate remains above North Yorkshire but is below the national and regional averages

Neighbourhoods

Something of a mixed picture at neighbourhood level.

For the first time since 16th September 2020, the Westfield/Chapelfields. Foxwood North neighbourhood has recorded fewer than 3 cases.

By contrast, there has been a large spike in cases in the South Bank/Dringhouses area with 18 cases and a rate of 230.7 recorded.

Vaccinations

Tests

4456 PCR tests were carried out in York during the week ending 24th February 2021.

Of these, 3.6% were positive. That represents a reduction from the previous days figure of 3.8%

1521 “lateral flow” tests were also carried out on 28th February

Hospitals

The York Hospital Trust is now treating 61 Coronavirus patients. This is down from a peak of 242 at the end of January.

2004 COVID-19 patients have been discharged from hospital since the start of the pandemic

Coronavirus York updates; 26th February 2021

Deaths

One further hospital death has been announced.

It took place on Tuesday

For the first time since mid October, the average daily death rate at the local hospitals has fallen below one.

Test results

Eighteen additional positive test results were announced today. That brings cumulative total to 11,823

The rate /100k population figure has edged higher and now stands at 77.39.

It is expected to rise to over 80 this weekend before, hopefully, falling again next week.

The infection rate is now a couple of points higher than was seen during the equivalent period in December.

The York increase since yesterday represents an additional 8 cases.

Case rates continue to fall at national and county level. They are also now beginning to fall again at regional (Yorkshire) level.

Neighbourhoods

The increased cases are spread round the City with no obvious connection. Huntington, which edged above the 200 case threshold yesterday, has now fallen back into the average rate banding.

There are still 4 neighbourhoods with fewer than 3 cases in each

Vaccinations

The team running the York vaccination centre at Askham Bar say they expect to have offered all over-50s the jab by mid-April.

Vaccinations by neighbourhood

The NHS have started to publish details of the numbers of people who have been vaccinated at neighbourhood level. As with most other stats they report the situation as at 5 days ago, so more progress will have been made since then.

The stats reveal that 55,074 York residents have now (21/2/21) been vaccinated. That represents about 25% of the total population.

The distribution of jabs tends to reflect the age profile distribution across the City. Areas with larger numbers of older people have – as expected – been allocated a larger proportion of available resources.

The figures confirm that local systems are working well and that progress is ahead of target.

When all over 50’s have been vaccinated (expected by mid April) the recommendation, in phase 2, is that priority will be given in the following order:

– All those aged 40-49
– All those aged 30-39
– All those aged 18-29

It is expected that all adults will have been offered a vaccination my Mid July.

Tests

4450 PCR tests were conducted in York during the week ending 21st February

Of these, 3.7% were positive. That represents and increase from the 3.5% figure recorded the previous day.

1438 “lateral flow” test were conducted on 25th February

Hospitals

There are now 67 COVID-19 inpatients at the York Hospital Trust. See council commentary below for York Hospital figures.

The peak number of patients was 242 last month.

11 are in intensive care

A total of 1,992 Covid-19 patients had been discharged since the start of the pandemic

Council commentary

The Council has updated its weekly commentary on the pandemic.

It is reproduced below for ease of access.

“The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 26.02.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 22.2.21 there had been 77 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.

• As at 25.2.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 225.4 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 4,653 people). The peak rate was 1,282.6 on 7.1.21.

Diagnosed cases

• As at 24.2.21 York has had 11,805 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 5,605 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (6,466) and regional (6,413) averages.

• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 17.2.21 to 23.2.21 in York is 79.8 (using data published on Gov.uk on 25.2.21).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 14.2.21 to 20.2.21 was 73.6. The national and regional averages at this date were 118.3 and 154.3 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 25.2.21).

• York is currently ranked 29th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• For the 7 day period 13.2.21.to 19.2.21, 2 wards in York (Clifton and Osbaldwick & Derwent) has seen a statistically significant fall in rates compared with the 7 day period 6.2.21 to 12.2.21. For the remaining wards there has been no statistically significant change in rates. No wards have seen a significant increase in rates in this period.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 14.2.21 to 20.2.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 70.6. The national and regional averages were 83.9 and 106.6 respectively.

• As at 22.2.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 3.55%. The national and regional averages are 5.2% and 7.1% respectively.

• As at 22.2.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.46%. The national and regional averages are 0.3% and 0.3% respectively.

• As at 23.2.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 3.9%. The national average is 3.1%.

• As at 25.2.21 York University reported 9 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.

Contact Tracing

• Since 28.5.20 a total of 10,926 laboratory confirmed CYC Covid cases have been uploaded into the NHS Test and Trace system and 9,849 of the cases have been completed (90.1%). 25,408 ‘contacts’ have been identified and 19,152 of these have been completed (75.4%). Source: PHE Report.

• Local Tracing of Cases: Between 22.10.20 and 19.2.21, 919 referrals had been actioned by the local contact tracing service. Of the referrals actioned, 586 (63.8%) were successful and 333 (36.2%) were unable to be reached via phone or home visit, but guidance leaflets were posted where possible.

Cases in Residential Care Settings

• As at 25.2.21 there were 5 care homes in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).

• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases) in a residential care setting in York was reported by PHE on 25.2.21 (1 home).

Cases amongst School Aged Children

• In the 7 days up to 21.2.21 there were 9 children of primary and secondary school age who tested positive. NB Currently the majority of York children are not in the school setting.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 23.2.21 there were 41 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General and Acute beds. The figure a week ago (16.2.21) was 52.

• As at 23.2.21 there were 11 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patient in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The figures a week ago (16.2.21) were 9 and 0 respectively.

• As at 23.2.21 there had been 0 patients admitted with suspected Covid-19 and 0 with confirmed Covid-19 in the previous 24 hours.

• As at 23.2.21 there had been 6 confirmed patients discharged with COVID-19 in last 24 hours.

Covid Patients (CYC Residents) discharged from York Hospital

• Between 15.2.21 and 21.2.21, 18 CYC residents were discharged from York hospital after needing NHS care for symptoms linked to covid-19 infection.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 19.2.21 was estimated to be in the range 0.7 to 1.0. The previous estimate was (0.8 to 0.9) on 12.2.21.

Total Vaccinations

• As at 24.2.21 58,450 CYC residents have received the first dose and 1,095 had received both doses. 27.8% of the total estimated population of York (210,618*) have therefore received the first dose

• As at 24.2.21 15.79M In people in England have received the first dose and 0.54M have received both doses. 28.1% of the total estimated population of England (56,286,961) have therefore received the first dose using Mid-Year 2019 population estimates

Deaths

• ONS weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 6: 6.2.21 to 12.2.21) 10 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (7 in hospital and 3 in a care home). In weeks 3, 4 and 5 there had been 31, 26 and 18 deaths respectively.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 12th February 2021 and registered up to 20th February 2021, 348 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (204 in hospital, 119 in care homes, 18 at home and 7 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 165.2 which is lower than the national average of 208.1.

• Local Registrar data (Cumulative): Since the start of the pandemic (using data for deaths occurring up to 17.2.21), a cumulative total of 348 deaths of CYC residents where COVID-19 was mentioned (confirmed or suspected) on the death certificate, have been registered. The average age of the people who died was 82.3, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of those dying in York is older than the national average (80.5% of those who died in York were aged 75+ compared with 73.9% nationally). 167 of the 348 were male (48%), less than the national average (54.3%)”.

Coronavirus York updates; 25th February 2021

Deaths

There has been one further hospital death announced today. It occurred on Tuesday

Test results

SIXTEEN additional positive test results today bringing the cumulative total to 11,805

The rate /100k population figure has risen to 73.60. Further increases are in the pipeline for the next few days

Todays figures reflect an increase of two cases which brought the weekly average (on 20/2/21) up to 155 from 153

Comparing daily average case numbers towards the end to Wave 2 (early December) with today shows a similar trend.

Both periods show a spike in case numbers . Wave 2 figures subsequently fell away to 17.43 before steadily rising again as Christmas approached.

This weeks spike has been more pronounced. All eyes will be on trends next week as the easing of restrictions on schooling gets closer.

There has been a small reduction in case numbers in North Yorkshire.

Neighbourhoods

The case rate in Huntington has doubled over the last 5 days. The neighbourhood has now crept back above the 200 case benchmark

Five neighbourhoods have below 3 cases in each

Vaccinations

Over 60’s are now being vaccinated at Askham Bar. You need to book an appointment via the NHS web site

Tests

4386 PCR tests were carried out in York during the week ending 20th February

Of these 3.6% were positive. That is an increase from the previous days figure of 3.4%

1533 “lateral flow” tests were carried out on 24th February

Hospitals

There are now 71 COVID-19 patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust. Ten are in intensive care. Both represent a reduction on previously published figures.

The Trust has discharged 1984 COVID patients since the start of the pandemic

Coronavirus York updates; 23rd February 2021

Deaths

Three additional hospital deaths have been reported. One occurred on Saturday and two on Sunday.

Test Results

Eighteen positive test results announced. That is the lowest for a few days. Brings the cumulative total to 11,767.

As forecast the infection rate is rising. The rate /100k population now stands at 67.9. That is slightly down on the figure reported yesterday. However the reduction reflects just one case compared to yesterdays figures.

However, positive test results – already in the pipeline – suggest that the rate will rise to 75 before the end of the week.

The current case number spike is not without precedent.

On the day that Lockdown 2 ended (2/12/20) weekly case numbers stood at 23.14. A couple of days earlier they had fallen to 19.43.

Case numbers in North Yorkshire have stared to fall again. However, at regional (Yorkshire) level, for the fifth successive day, an increase in case numbers has been reported

Neighbourhoods

Now five neighbourhoods have fewer than 3 cases in each.

Figures are quite volatile

Vaccinations

Tests

4,435 PCR test were carried out during the week ending 18th February 2021.

Of these tests, 3.4% were positive. That is the same percentage as was reported yesterday.

1546 “lateral flow” tests were carried out on 22nd February.

Hospitals

York Teaching Hospital NHS Foundation Trust is currently treating 80 Covid-19 inpatients.

11 Covid patients are being treated in intensive care.

1,968 Covid patients have been discharged since the start of the pandemic.

Coronavirus York updates; 19th February 2021

Deaths

One hospital death reported today. It occurred on Wednesday.

The death rate is beginning to fall again after a spike earlier in the week.

Test results

NINETEEN additional positive test results today. Brings the cumulative total to 11,660

The rate /100k population figure has today resumed its downward trend. It now stands at 80.24. That is the lowest infection rate recorded since 14th December 2020.

The comparative case rate figures between Lockdown 2 and Lockdown 3 (current) have been updated.

It may be worth noting that there were inconsistent days during and immediately after the end of Lockdown 2 with some short term spikes in numbers.

This may happen again as we reach the end of Lockdown 3.

Infection rates continue to fall at all levels. They are falling more slowly at Yorkshire regional level than elsewhere.

Neighbourhoods

We now have six neigbourhoods with infection rates below 50.

Haxby is currently recording only 2 cases.

Vaccinations

The York Council is reporting (see below) that 25% of residents have now been vaccinated (first dose).

Tests

During the week ending 14th February, 4416 people in York took PCR tests.

Of those, 4.1% were positive.

861 lateral flow tests were conducted on 18th February

Hospital

There were 79 COVID-19 patients being cared for by the York Hospital Trust on 16th February. 11 were in intensive care

Council commentary updated

The York Councils commentary on the pandemic has been updated on its “open data” website. It is reproduced below for convenience

The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 19.02.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 15.2.21 there had been 91 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.

• As at 18.2.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 212.3 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 4,681 people). The peak rate was 1,282.6 on 7.1.21.

Diagnosed cases

• As at 17.2.21 York has had 11,641 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 5,527 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (6,356) and regional (6,265) averages.

• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 10.2.21 to 16.2.21 in York is 65.5 (using data published on Gov.uk on 18.2.21).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 7.2.21 to 13.2.21 was 86.4. The national and regional averages at this date were 137.8 and 152 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 18.2.21).

• York is currently ranked 23rd out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• For the 7 day period 6.2.21.to 12.2.21, 5 wards in York (Huntington & New Earswick, Westfield, Acomb, Micklegate and Copmanthorpe) have seen a statistically significant fall in rates compared with the 7 day period 30.1.21 to 5.2.21. For the remaining wards there has been no statistically significant change in rates. No wards have seen a significant increase in rates in this period.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 7.2.21 to 13.2.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 64.6. The national and regional averages were 102.7 and 101.4 respectively.

• As at 15.2.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 4.15%. The national and regional averages are 5.9% and 7.1% respectively.

• As at 15.2.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.41%. The national and regional averages are 0.3% and 0.3% respectively.

• As at 16.2.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 2.8%. The national average is 4.0%.

• As at 18.2.21 York University reported 8 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.

• As at 15.2.21 York St. John reported 7 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 82 on the 8.10.20.

Contact Tracing

• Since 28.5.20 a total of 10,744 laboratory confirmed CYC Covid cases have been uploaded into the NHS Test and Trace system and 9,678 of the cases have been completed (90.1%). 25,070 ‘contacts’ have been identified and 18,842 of these have been completed (75.2%). Source: PHE Report.

• Local Tracing of Cases: Between 22.10.20 and 12.2.21, 905 referrals had been actioned by the local contact tracing service. Of the referrals actioned, 578 (63.9%) were successful and 327 (36.1%) were unable to be reached via phone or home visit, but guidance leaflets were posted where possible.

Cases in Residential Care Settings

• As at 18.2.21 there were 6 care homes in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).

• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases) in a residential care setting in York was reported by PHE on 15.2.21 (1 home).

Cases amongst School Aged Children

• In the 7 days up to 14.2.21 there were 8 children of primary and secondary school age who tested positive. NB Currently the majority of York children are not in the school setting.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 17.2.21 there were 55 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General and Acute beds. The figure a week ago (10.2.21) was 85.

• As at 17.2.21 there were 9 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patient in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The figures a week ago (10.2.21) were 13 and 0 respectively.

• As at 17.2.21 there had been 0 patients admitted with suspected Covid-19 and 2 with confirmed Covid-19 in the previous 24 hours.

• As at 17.2.21 there had been 5 confirmed patients discharged with COVID-19 in last 24 hours.

Covid Patients (CYC Residents) discharged from York Hospital

• Between 8.2.21 and 14.2.21, 36 CYC residents were discharged from York hospital after needing NHS care for symptoms linked to covid-19 infection.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 12.2.21 was estimated to be in the range 0.8 to 0.9. The previous estimate was (0.8 to 1.0) on 5.2.21.

Vaccinations

• As at 17.2.21 54,289 CYC residents have received the first dose and 1,077 had received both doses.

Deaths

• ONS weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 5: 30.1.20 to 5.2.20) 17 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (12 in hospital and 5 in a care home). In weeks 3 and 4 there had been 31 and 26 deaths respectively).

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 5th February 2021 and registered up to 13th February 2021, 337 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (196 in hospital, 116 in care homes, 18 at home and 7 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 160 which is lower than the national average of 198.4.

• Local Registrar data (Cumulative): Since the start of the pandemic (using data for deaths occurring up to 10.2.21), a cumulative total of 329 deaths of CYC residents where COVID-19 was mentioned (confirmed or suspected) on the death certificate, have been registered. The average age of the people who died was 82.5, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of those dying in York is older than the national average (80.5% of those who died in York were aged 75+ compared with 74.1% nationally). 154 of the 329 were male (47.7%), less than the national average (54.3%).

Coronavirus York updates; 18th February 2021

Where next?

The Prime Minister has promised to publish a road map, which will guide the nation out of lockdown, on Monday.

He is (rightly) downplaying the likelihood of a major early relaxation of restrictions.

It seems certain though that – on present trends – schools will reopen to all pupils in early March. The reopening plan is likely to involve regular testing of staff and teachers.

The table below compares the daily average number of new coronavirus cases being found during the two most recent periods of lockdown in the City (November compared to the present day)

The reducing case number profile is remarkably similar for both periods.

If the pattern continues, daily case numbers would fall below 20 before the beginning of March.

There is a warning for the future in what happened after lockdown 2 ended on 2nd December 2020, when more lax Tier 2 restrictions were put in place.

Case numbers continued to drop for about a week.

Thereafter, they rose increasingly quickly before peaking at 202.14 on 8th January 2021.

It has been a long and stressful road back from that point. It is progress which must not be put at risk.

Deaths

Three additional hospital deaths have been reported today. One occurred on Monday and two on Tuesday. The cumulative total number of fatalities at the York and Scarborough Hospitals since 1st September 2020 has risen to 339.

Test results

Nineteen new positive test results were announced today. Brings the cumulative total up to 11,641.

As forecast there, has been a small increase in the case rate /100k population today. It has risen to 86.42

It is expected that the rate will resume its downward trend tomorrow.

Despite todays blip, York remains below the county, regional and national average infection rates.

Neighbourhoods

Todays blip has caused some neighbourhoods to move between blocks but no significant effect.

Haxby, which was for a time the area with the largest number of infections, now has fewer than three cases.

Vaccinations

Testing

4,445 PCR tests were conducted during the week ending 13th February.

Of these, 4.5% produced positive results.

The positivity rate continues to fall.

878 lateral flow tests were conducted on 17th February

Hospitals

The York Hospital Trust is now caring for 96 Coronavirus patients. This is down from a peak of 242 seen at the end of January

COVID-19 antibodies

According to the latest government figures issued today the number of people tested who have coronavirus anti bodies in the system has increased to 18.5%. (5th January – 1st February 2021)

When the tests started last April, only 7.5% recorded anti bodies.

Infections

Imperial College London’s React study, which tested more than 85,000 people in England between February 4 and 13, suggests infections have dropped to just one in 200 people.

The study suggested infections are halving every 15 days, and the R number – which expresses how many people the average infected individual spreads the virus to – is at 0.72.

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