Coronavirus York updates; 2nd June 2021

Hospital patient numbers and deaths

No change in numbers today at the York Hospital Trust

Test results

Four positive test results today brings the cumulative total up to 12,428.

The number of cases in the City has reduced from 46 to 45

The rate /100k population is now 21.37.

Neighbourhoods

There are now now eight neighbourhoods with 3 or more cases in each

Vaccinations

Tests

  • 4608 PCR tests were conducted in the City during the week ending 28th May.
  • Of these, 1.0% were found to be positive. That is an increase over the 0.9% found positive during the previous period. The results mean that the proportion of people testing positive in the City has doubled in less than a week. (0.5% were found to be positive during the week ending 23rd May)
  • 1918 “lateral flow” tests were also conducted on 1st June 2021

Coronavirus York updates; 9th April 2021

Deaths

There have been no additional coronavirus hospital deaths announced today

Test results

The authorities have changed the way that they count case numbers. The consequence is that the cumulative totals have been changed. The York cumulative figure is now 12,156.

The table and graphs below reflect the revised figures.

The number of cases in the City has fallen from 33 yesterday to 25 today. The downward trend in case numbers continues to mirror the profile seen in May/June last year. In 2020 case numbers in the City eventually fell to just one at the beginning of August 2020.

The rate per 100k population figure has fallen to 11.87. It is expected to remain at around 10 for the next few days.

This is the lowest rate seen since the 1st September 2020.

There is a steady reduction in case numbers at regional and national level

Neighbourhoods

Little change today at neighbourhood level with only three areas having more than 3 cases in each

Vaccinations

The table indicating the number of adults vaccinated in each York neighbourhood has been updated.

The figures vary from the lowest 31.6% (Tang Hall) to the highest 74.6% (Haxby).

However, this largely reflects the differing age structure of the local populations.

Areas with higher numbers of people aged under 50 are now receiving more vaccination invitations

By Tuesday (6th April) the number of residents who had received their first vaccination was 53.6%. Those receiving their second dose had increased to 9.3%.

York Hospital Trust patient numbers

A further fall in COVID-19 local patient numbers has been reported today.

Tests

3,793 PCR tests were carried out during the week ending 4th April 2021

Of these, 0.6% were positive. That is lower than the 0.7% recorded the previous day

2140 “lateral flow” tests were also carried out on 8th April

Council commentary

The York Council has updated its “open data” commentary on the pandemic

It is reproduced below for ease of reference

The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 09.04.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 5.4.21 there had been 73 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.

• As at 8.4.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 43 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 4,223 people). The peak rate was 1,283 on 7.1.21.

Diagnosed cases

• As at 8.4.21 York has had 12,225 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 5,804 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (6,789) and regional (7,008) averages.

• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the number of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (6.4.21) is Red. This is due to a higher than ‘expected’ number of cases on 2 occasions in the most recent 14 day monitoring period. In recent weeks the number of cases have been low in York which has an effect on the thresholds used to determine the RAG rating – a small change can mean the difference between a red, amber and green rating.

• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 31.3.21 to 6.4.21 in York is 10 (using data published on Gov.uk on 8.4.21).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 28.3.21 to 3.4.21 was 15.7. The national and regional averages at this date were 37 and 75.5 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 8.4.21).

• York is currently ranked 13th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• For the 7 day period 27.3.21.to 2.4.21, 1 ward (Fulford & Heslington) has seen a statistically significant rise in rates compared with the 7 day period 20.3.21 to 26.3.21. The remaining wards have shown no significant change. The number of cases in each ward varies from 0 to 7 and rates vary from 0 to 131 per 100,000. 6 wards had zero cases in the latest 7 day period.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 28.3.21 to 3.4.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 14.1. The national and regional averages were 12.4 and 24.5 respectively.

• As at 6.4.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 0.67%. The national and regional averages are 1.8% and 4.1% respectively.

• As at 6.4.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.08%. The national and regional averages are 0.1% and 0.3% respectively.

• As at 6.4.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 0.1%. The national average is 0.8%.

• As at 8.4.21 York University reported 1 individual within the University community who was currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.

• As at 5.4.21 York St. John reported 0 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 82 on the 8.10.20.

Contact Tracing

• Since 28.5.20 a total of 11,349 confirmed CYC Covid cases have been uploaded into the NHS Test and Trace system and 10,247 of the cases have been completed (90.3%). 26,455 ‘contacts’ of these cases have been identified and 20,070 of these have been completed (75.9%).

Cases in Residential Care Settings

• As at 8.4.21 there were 0 care homes in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).

• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases) in a residential care setting in York were reported by PHE on 25.2.21 (1 home).

Cases amongst School Aged Children

• In the 7 days up to 5.4.21 there were 7 children of primary and secondary school age who tested positive across 3 schools.

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 31.3.21 there were 9 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General and Acute beds. The peak number was 157 on 19.1.21.

• As at 31.3.21 there were 3 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patient in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The peak number for people in ITU was 19 on 10.5.20.

• As at 31.3.21 there had been 0 patients admitted with suspected Covid-19 and 0 with confirmed Covid-19 in the previous 24 hours.

• As at 31.3.21 there had been 2 confirmed patients discharged with COVID-19 in last 24 hours.

• Between 22.3.21 and 28.3.21, 12 CYC residents were discharged from York hospital after needing NHS care for symptoms linked to covid-19 infection.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 2.4.21 was estimated to be in the range 0.8 to 1.0. The previous estimate was (0.8 to 1.0) on 26.3.21.

Total Vaccinations

• As at 7.4.21 a total of 93,351 CYC residents have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 44.3% of the estimated total population of York and 53.7% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.

• As at 7.4.21 a total of 16,734 CYC residents have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 7.9% of the estimated total population of York and 9.6% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.

Deaths

The two sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data is useful as it enables a breakdown by age and gender. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 11: 13.3.21 to 19.3.21) 2 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents. In weeks 8, 9 and 10 there had been 6 ,6 and 3 deaths respectively.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 19th March 2021 and registered up to 27th March 2021, 386 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (226 in hospital, 131 in care homes, 21 at home and 8 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 183.3 which is lower than the national average of 227.7

• Local Registrar data (Cumulative): Since the start of the pandemic (using data for deaths occurring up to 17.3.21), a cumulative total of 369 deaths of CYC residents where COVID-19 was mentioned (confirmed or suspected) on the death certificate, have been registered. The average age of the people who died was 82.3, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of those dying in York is older than the national average (79.9% of those who died in York were aged 75+ compared with 73.2% nationally). 178 of the 369 were male (48.2%), less than the national average (54.3%).