Coronavirus York updates; 4th June 2021

Hospital patients and deaths

Patients numbers are stable and there have been no further hospital deaths

Test results

Ten more positive test results today. Brings cumulative total up to 12,449

The number of cases in the City has increased from 52 yesterday to 56 today. It is expected to edge up to over 60 cases early next week

Rate /100k population increases to 26.6. That is the highest rate seen since 28th March.

Case numbers continue to rise slowly at national, regional and local levels. York still below the national infection rate

Neighbourhoods

There are now 11 neighbourhoods with three or more cases in each

Vaccinations

Tests

  • 4887 PCR tests were conducted during the week ending 30th May 2021
  • Of these, 1.2% were found to be positive. That is higher than the 1.1% found during the previous period
  • 2008 “lateral flow” tests were also conducted on 3rd June

According to the Council, there are 6 York University students currently isolating following a positive test. That is the same number as the previous week.

There are also 19 school children isolating. That is more than double the 8 found to have tested positive during the previous week

Council commentary

Open data extract

The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 04.06.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 31.5.21 there had been 65 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.

• As at 3.6.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 14 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 3,821 people). The peak rate was 1,283 on 7.1.21.

Diagnosed cases

• As at 3.6.21 York has had 12,439 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 5,906 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (6,975) and regional (7,334) averages. Cases identified through Lateral Flow Tests will be removed if they have a negative follow up PCR test within 72 hours so the cumulative total of cases can, on occasions, go down.

• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the number of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (31.5.21) is Amber. In recent weeks the number of cases have been low in York which has an effect on the thresholds used to determine the RAG rating – a small change can mean the difference between a red, amber and green rating.

• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 26.5.21 to 1.6.21 in York is 25.2 (53 cases). (Using data published on Gov.uk on 3.6.21).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 23.5.21 to 29.5.21 in York was 24.7 (52 cases). The national and regional averages at this date were 32.4 and 38.5 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 3.6.21).

• York is currently ranked 85th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• For the 7 day period 22.5.21.to 28.5.21 the number of cases in each ward varied from 0 to 7 and rates varied from 0 to 57.1 per 100,000. 6 wards had zero cases.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 23.5.21 to 29.5.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 12.1 (6 cases). The national and regional averages were 7.6 and 7.3 respectively.

• As at 1.6.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 1.73%. The national and regional averages are 2.1% and 2.6% respectively.

• As at 1.6.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.12%. The national and regional averages are 0.2% and 0.2% respectively.

• As at 1.6.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 0.5%. The national average is 0.3%.

• As at 21.5.21 York University reported 6 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.

• As at 17.5.21 York St. John reported 0 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 82 on the 8.10.20.

Contact Tracing

• Local Contact Tracing. Between 10.3.21 and 28.5.21, 252 referrals had been actioned by the local contact tracing service. Of the referrals actioned, 235 (93.3%) were successful and 17 (6.7%) were unable to be reached via phone or home visit, but guidance leaflets were posted where possible. (NB on the 10.3.21 the local CYC team became responsible for contacting all cases rather than just those that the national team could not contact).

Cases in Residential Care Settings

• As at 28.5.21 there were 0 care homes in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).

• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases) in a residential care setting in York were reported by PHE on 25.2.21 (1 home).

Cases amongst School Aged Children

• In the 7 days up to 31.5.21 there were 19 children of primary or secondary school age who tested positive (across 8 different schools).

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 1.6.21 there was 1 confirmed Covid-19 patient in a General or Acute bed. The peak number was 157 on 19.1.21.

• As at 1.6.21 there were 0 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patients in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The peak number for people in ITU was 19 on 10.5.20.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 28.5.21 was estimated to be in the range 0.8 to 1.0. The previous estimate was (0.8 to 1.0) on 21.5.21.

Variant of Concern

• Data from Public Health England shows that in York, up to 2.6.21, there have been less than five confirmed cases of the Delta Variant of Concern (VOC-21APR-02) which was first identified in India.

Total Vaccinations

• As at 2.6.21 a total of 119,722 CYC residents have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 56.8% of the estimated total population of York and 68.8% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.

• As at 2.6.21 a total of 79,477 CYC residents have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 37.7% of the estimated total population of York and 45.7% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.

Deaths

The two sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data provides a breakdown by age and gender. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS Weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 20: 15.5.21 to 21.5.21) 0 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents. In weeks 17, 18 and 19 there had been 1, 0 and 0 deaths respectively.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 8th May 2021 and registered up to 29th May 2021, 396 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (228 in hospital, 135 in care homes, 25 at home/elsewhere and 8 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 188.02 which is lower than the national average of 232.28

• Age / Gender breakdown (using registrar data): The average age of the CYC residents who died was 82.1, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of the CYC residents who have died is older than the national average (79.5% were aged 75+ compared with 73% nationally). 47.9% of the CYC residents who died were male. The national average is 54.4%.

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