Coronavirus York updates; 15th May 2021

Deaths

The next updates on hospital fatalities will be published on Monday

Test results

Three additional positive test results today. Brings total up to 12,342

Case numbers fall for 38 to 35.

Rate /100k population figure falls to 16.22

The infection rate is still edging up at regional and national level.

Neighbourhoods

Vaccinations

Tests

  • 4277 PCR tests were conducted during the week ending 10th May
  • Of these 0.7% were positive. That is the same proportion as the previous day
  • In addition, 1610 “lateral flow” tests were conducted on 14thMay

Council commentary

The Council has updated their open data commentary on the pandemic. It is reproduced below

The data is accurate as at 8.00 a.m. on Friday 14.05.21. Some narrative for the data covering the latest period is provided here below:

People with Covid Symptoms

• NHS Pathways/111 triages – as at 10.5.21 there had been 71 total covid triages in the CYC area in the last 7 days. The peak number of triages was 653 in the 7 day period to 20.9.20.

• As at 11.5.21, the Covid Symptom App estimates 36 per 100,000 in York with symptomatic covid (responses from a sample of 4,048 people). The peak rate was 1,283 on 7.1.21.

Diagnosed cases

• As at 13.5.21 York has had 12,334 cases since the start of the pandemic, a rate of 5,856 per 100,000 of population. The cumulative rate in York is below the national (6,898) and regional (7,230) averages. Cases identified through Lateral Flow Tests will be removed if they have a negative follow up PCR test within 72 hours so the cumulative total of cases can, on occasions, go down.

• The PHE ‘Exceedance’ rating compares the no. of new cases over a 14 day period with the previous 6 weeks and provides a RAG rating to indicate if the previously observed trend in the number of new cases is worsening. The latest rating for York (10.5.21) is Amber. In recent weeks the number of cases have been low in York which has an effect on the thresholds used to determine the RAG rating – a small change can mean the difference between a red, amber and green rating.

• The provisional rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 5.5.21 to 11.5.21 in York is 17.1 (36 cases). (Using data published on Gov.uk on 13.5.21).

• The latest official “validated” rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 2.5.21 to 8.5.21 in York was 17.6 (37 cases). The national and regional averages at this date were 22.1 and 39.8 respectively (using data published on Gov.uk on 13.5.21).

• York is currently ranked 75th out of 149 Upper Tier Local Authorities (UTLAs) in England with a rank of 1 indicating the lowest 7 day rate.

• For the 7 day period 1.5.21.to 7.5.21, 1 ward (Osbaldwick & Derwent) had seen a statistically significant fall in rates compared with the 7 day period 24.4.21 to 30.4.21. For the remaining wards there had been no significant change. The number of cases in each ward varied from 0 to 5 and rates varied from 0 to 37.6 per 100,000. 6 wards had zero cases.

• The rate of new Covid cases per 100,000 of population for the period 2.5.21 to 8.5.21 for people aged 60+ in York was 10.1 (5 cases). The national and regional averages were 6.9 and 12 respectively.

• As at 11.5.21, the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 PCR tests only) was 0.85%. The national and regional averages are 1.0% and 2.0% respectively.

• As at 11.5.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 2 Lateral Flow Tests only) was 0.09%. The national and regional averages are 0.1% and 0.2% respectively.

• As at 11.5.21 the latest 7 day positivity rate in York (Pillar 1 tests only) was 0.2%. The national average is 0.3%.

• As at 10.5.21 York University reported 1 individual within the University community who was currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 331 on the 19.10.20.

• As at 10.5.21 York St. John reported 0 individuals within the University community who were currently self-isolating because they have had a positive COVID-19 test. The peak number was 82 on the 8.10.20.

Contact Tracing

• Since 28.5.20 a total of 11,413 confirmed CYC Covid cases have been uploaded into the NHS Test and Trace system and 10,311 (90.3%) of the cases have been completed (compared with 86.6% nationally). 26,777 ‘contacts’ of these cases have been identified and 20,332 (75.9%) of these have been completed (compared with 81.2% nationally).

• Local Contact Tracing. Between 10.3.21 and 7.5.21, 180 referrals had been actioned by the local contact tracing service. Of the referrals actioned, 167 (92.8%) were successful and 13 (7.2%) were unable to be reached via phone or home visit, but guidance leaflets were posted where possible. (NB on the 10.3.21 the local CYC team became responsible for contacting all cases rather than just those that the national team could not contact).

Cases in Residential Care Settings

• As at 12.5.21 there were 0 care homes in the CYC area with confirmed Covid-19 infection (at least 1 case of either a staff member or resident).

• The latest ‘outbreak’ (2+ cases) in a residential care setting in York were reported by PHE on 25.2.21 (1 home).

Cases amongst School Aged Children

• In the 7 days up to 10.5.21 there were 3 children of primary or secondary school age who tested positive (across 3 different schools).

COVID Bed Occupancy in York Hospital

• As at 11.5.21 there were 3 confirmed Covid-19 patients in General and Acute beds. The peak number was 157 on 19.1.21.

• As at 11.5.21 there were 0 confirmed Covid-19 patients and 0 suspected Covid-19 patients in the Intensive Treatment Unit. The peak number for people in ITU was 19 on 10.5.20.

• As at 11.5.21 there had been 0 patients admitted with suspected Covid-19, 0 admitted with confirmed Covid-19 and 0 confirmed patients discharged with COVID-19 in the previous 24 hours.

R Number

• The ‘R’ value (the number of people that one infected person will pass on a virus to, on average) for the North East and Yorkshire area on 7.5.21 was estimated to be in the range 0.7 to 1.0. The previous estimate was (0.8 to 1.0) on 30.4.21.

Total Vaccinations

• As at 12.5.21 a total of 107,246 CYC residents have had the first dose of the vaccine. This represents 50.9% of the estimated total population of York and 61.6% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.

• As at 12.5.21 a total of 56,154 CYC residents have had both doses of the vaccine. This represents 26.7% of the estimated total population of York and 32.3% of the estimated adult (18+) population of York.

Deaths

The two sources about deaths from Covid-19 at LA level are ONS data and local registrar data. They are derived from the same source (civil registration data). ONS data is more comprehensive as it includes deaths of York residents which have occurred and been registered outside York. Local registrar data provides a breakdown by age and gender. The most recently available data is summarised below:

• ONS Weekly data: In the most recent period (Week 17: 24.4.21 to 30.4.21) 1 Covid-19 death was recorded as having occurred for CYC residents. In weeks 14, 15 and 16 there had been 0, 2 and 0 deaths respectively.

• ONS Cumulative data: Since the start of the pandemic, for deaths occurring up to 30th April 2021 and registered up to 8th May 2021, 396 Covid-19 deaths were recorded as having occurred for CYC residents (228 in hospital, 135 in care homes, 25 at home/elsewhere and 8 in a hospice). The number of deaths per 100,000 of population in York is 188.02 which is lower than the national average of 231.62.

• Age / Gender breakdown (using registrar data): The average age of the CYC residents who died was 82.1, with an age range of 44-104. The age profile of the CYC residents who have died is older than the national average (79.5% were aged 75+ compared with 73% nationally). 47.9% of the CYC residents who died were male. The national average is 54.4%.